社会抗争中理性与情感的选择方式及动员效果 ——基于十年120起事件的统计分析(2007-2016)

郭小安

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国际新闻界 ›› 2017, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (11) : 107-125.
传播学研究

社会抗争中理性与情感的选择方式及动员效果 ——基于十年120起事件的统计分析(2007-2016)

  • 郭小安
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The Rational and Emotional Selection Methods and Mobilization’s Effects of the Social Protests: Based on the Statistical Analysis of 120 Social Protest Cases in the Past Decade (2007-2016)

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摘要

本文选取了近十年120起社会抗争案例,尝试对情感与理性动员策略进行操作化定义,统计计算情感与理性的选择方式及动员效果。研究发现,情感与理性之策略选择受抗争者身份、社会资源、利益相关度、政治机会、回应方式等多变量的影响。数据显示,社会抗争事件中理性动员策略的使用比情感动员更为丰富,但二者的使用频率和强度未知。在影响要素方面,抗争者身份与理性表达手段的使用具有正向相关性,抗争者身份属于体制内时,更多使用理性动员手段,其发生暴力冲突的可能性也较小;情感表达手段的使用与参与报道的媒体级别正向相关,情感表达策略丰富,采取的手段越丰富,越易受到媒体尤其是中央级媒体的关注。此外,报道媒体的级别与抗争结果显示差异性显著,仅有地方媒体报道的事件与有中央级媒体参与报道的事件在抗争效果上显示出显著差异。

Abstract

This research based on the statistical analysis of 120 cases of social protest in the past decade, it tried to define the emotional and rational mobilization strategy. Then it has calculated the different types of emotional and rational choice and mobilization effect. It found out that the choice of emotions and rationality is influenced by multivariate factors such as the identity of the protesters, social resources, interest relevance, political opportunity and response mode. The data show that the use of rational mobilization strategies in social protest events is richer than emotional mobilization, but the frequency and intensity of the useage are unknown. As for affecting factors, the social protestors’ identity is highly positive relative to rational mobilization. when the identity of protestors is in-system, its mobilization strategy is on rise and the possibility of violent conflict is lower. The emotional mobilization is positively related to the level of reported media. The more emotional mobilization strategies people use, the more vulnerable attention from media, especially state-owned media. In addition, there are significant differences between the level of media and the results of the movement. That is to say, there are significant differences between results of events that only reported by local media and results of events reported by state-owned media.

关键词

社会抗争 / 理性动员 / 情感动员 / 策略选择 / 动员效果

Key words

social protest / rational mobilization / emotional mobilization / strategy selection / mobilization effect

引用本文

导出引用
郭小安. 社会抗争中理性与情感的选择方式及动员效果 ——基于十年120起事件的统计分析(2007-2016). 国际新闻界. 2017, 39(11): 107-125
. The Rational and Emotional Selection Methods and Mobilization’s Effects of the Social Protests: Based on the Statistical Analysis of 120 Social Protest Cases in the Past Decade (2007-2016). Chinese Journal of Journalism & Communication. 2017, 39(11): 107-125

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基金

本文受国家社会科学基金一般项目“网络时代共意性社会运动的媒介动员机制研究”(项目编号15BXW041)资助。
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