The Myth of Certainty: Public Opinion, Media, and Voting

WANG Jinli

Chinese Journal of Journalism & Communication ›› 2014, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (4) : 42-54.

Chinese Journal of Journalism & Communication ›› 2014, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (4) : 42-54.

The Myth of Certainty: Public Opinion, Media, and Voting

  • Wang Jinli, associate professor at the School of Journalism & Communication, Sichuan International Studies University (SISU). E-mail: 53550900@qq.com. This paper is supported by the major project of social science of SISU(No. siuzd201201)
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Abstract

Depending on elegant question-design and measurement, the study of public opinion in the Bureau of Applied Social Research (BASR) had produced substantial knowledge about the relation between communications and formation of public opinion, but such study only gained the precision of detail, failing to achieve the generality and certainty of knowledge as the researchers committed to. This paper scrutinizes Voting which had the most skillful measurement in BASR, to identify the relation between methodological individualism, ideas of public opinion and communication under the S-R theory, and the model of knowledge-producing. The author takes the predicament of knowledge-producing as a self-fulfilling prophecy through methodology used.

Key words

public opinion / measurement / methodological individualism / S-R theory / certainty

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WANG Jinli. The Myth of Certainty: Public Opinion, Media, and Voting[J]. Chinese Journal of Journalism & Communication. 2014, 36(4): 42-54

Funding

This paper is supported by the major project of social science of SISU(No. siuzd201201)

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